Busy, busy day on the trail...

Hit a chalky early Keeneland P5 yesterday, hoping for some bigger prices today

In The Bluegrass at Keeneland will have a solid field...interesting if the Dornoch can rate here, I don't think there will be much speed

Dornoch/Encino/SierraLeone

Santa Anita Derby...the pace sets up nicely for McVay hopefully at a price

make money

Uncle Heavy in the Wood.

In the Blue Grass, I think Just a Touch win will with Geroux.

That was a terrible fall in the Wood. So sorry to see the horse go down like that.

Hit the tri in the 8th at Keeneland and the exa. in the 9th.

And then hit the exa. in the Blue Grass. Sierra Leonne very impressive win.

Good day.

Keeneland continues today,Thursday, in the mud...hit the early pick 5...alive to the remainder of the late pick 5...still some good fields left today...thinking it will dry out tomorrow

remainder of P5 ticket
13,6,9/1,5,10/4,7,12/6,9,10

the new 15% takeout on daily doubles at Kee is really good for bettors...and it has helped their action as well...win/win

Race 7
I think the 10-Breeze Easy might like the soft footing on the grass, 30/1 ml…4-Oeuvre is as professional a horse as there is (26 races in her lifetime, only 4 out of the money)

Ward tops all trainers here and should get the lions share of attention…his 12-Love Reigns will take money but is stuck outside, coming off the bench (which she has done before with varying success) but has won 2 of her 3 races here at Kee…8-Roses for Debra is a killer at this distance…wild card is the 7 -Port Townsend (great name, love the human connections of DeVaux/Hernandez

4-2-7-8

Race 8
4-Brigadier General 2 for 2 on this course, won wire to wire last out, certainly fits…as does the 7-Classic Catch…Pletcher wins these races a lot and gets Ortiz in the irons, can’t overlook…crazy pace in here sets up so very nicely for the 5-Hayes Strike at a price!

5-4-7

Race 9
The soft turf sets up nicely for the Euro duo of 3-Elusive Princess and the 5-English Rose…the 6-Gina Romantica is 2/2 on this course and needs to be included

6-3-5

Race 10
2-Wine Steward was a game 2nd here at Kee in the Breeders Cup last year…the 9-Liberal Arts was as rank as you could get in the Arkansas Derby, ran well but was DQ’d…he’ll be running late with 8-Encino…both could be in the money along with the 5-Hades

9-8-2-5

Race 11
Yeah good luck here…I’ve narrowed down to in no order
1, 5*, 8*, 9*, 11, 4, 10

And will be trying to cut it down

and remember

the new 15% takeout on daily doubles at Kee is really good for bettors...and it has helped their action as well...win/win

I didn't really think he was rank. He wanted to go through a hole and Gaff got scared and checked hard. The horse was racy as hell. He wanted to go so bad and the boy just kept grabbing him. Rider change. Big win today and it should get him in the big one. Probably not the way I would have played it after the Oaklawn race, but Derby Fever is tough to avoid when you have a horse this good.

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Communists are just people who are terrible at capitalism.

Damn. Great race...5 just left too much work...grrr

Hernandez waited a second too long to move him outside. That's the kind of stuff that makes people question uncoupled entries.

The desperation play for Derby points didn't work out for Liberal Arts either. He needs to take some time off now and they should plan for a late summer campaign. Instead they'll probably bring him back in 21 days in the Pat Day Mile or that race at Oaklawn.

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Communists are just people who are terrible at capitalism.

On the turf today, Friday, for a 10 trace card...track currently listed as good and hoping it dries out as the day goes on

Race 2….For Turf Sprints that have large fields here at Keeneland the 3,4 and 5 post have, regardless of anything else, a ridiculous ROI. Yesterday in Race 7 relatively unknown trainer Justin Wojczynski blew up the tote with $102 winner. (I like his 11-Adrift in the in the 4th )

Race 4 Couldn’t leave the 8-Run Jalen Run off my ticket but he seems to hang a lot, and the 11-Adrift was behind him by only 3 lengths back in November getting a really bad trip…

Race 5 the 3-Freedom’s Way broke his maiden at Fairgrounds with Saez aboard, then his next race here at Kee lost by a neck in first level allowance race

Early Pick 5
6,7,8/5,8,9,10,11/1,2,4/4,8,11/3,9,10

I've been patiently waiting for Banishing to hit the turf. Today is that day. Rain stay away.

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Communists are just people who are terrible at capitalism.

It'll be interesting where Gaffalione tries to place him, never having run on the grass...I see the 9-Dude in Colorado being legitimate speed on turf...if your guy doesn't go Rosario may be able to walk them...he woke up yesterday

Was out, saw the replay of the 5th...bad spill

Late Pick 5, race 6
2, 3, 6 / 3, 9, 11 / 3, 4, 10 / 1, 3, 4 / 1, 3, 6, 10

I have no luck with Gafflione. I know he's a top jock but whenever I bet him he rides like an out of control six year old.

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Communists are just people who are terrible at capitalism.

Sunday at Keeneland

Turfway runners have 29 winners this meet…

Race 1 4-Hoodlum consistent coming from Fairgrounds…speed comes from the 6 Sittin on go…keep an eye on the 3-Crazy Legs Hirsch (great football player of yore), he likes to win. Race 3-Timeless Elegance back on turf where she belongs

Race 5- Can’t say it enough posts 3,4 and 5 in a turf sprint full field blow up the ROI’s…both Ward’s will be well bet (the 7 and 12)

Race7 Cherie Devaux is a quietly effective trainer…this meet alone she has sent out horses that were live at 6-1 or less. In those races she is 7:5-2-0, just stunning. Blissful could pop at an extraordinary price

Race 8- tremendous pace might set up for 4-Ready To Pounce, might win from behind which is tough to do in the sprints here, but today looks like it could…7-Powerful should also be coming off the pace and gets a rider upgrade

Race 9- 4-Risk Threshold prepped well for this, better post than here first race and should improve over that effort…not comfortable with single so will add the 2-Muneera for her dam, and the 14-Coco Crush is intriguing at the far outside but the scratches might mitigate that

Alive in the Early P5 to
4,7/2,3,6,7,8,12

Late P5 ticket
2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 12 / 3, 7 / 3, 4, 7, 10 / 5, 6, 7 / 2, 4, 14

penultimate day at the spring Kee meet

Late p5
5, 6, 9, 10 / 3, 4, 5, 7 / 3, 7 / 1, 4, 9 / 1, 2, 9

Last day tomorrow then on to Derby Week at Churchill

alive here to the 1 (760), 2 (3019) and the 9 (1261) but quite frankly the way this meet has gone for me I'm hedging quite a bit (which is a bitch move, but hey)

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"I honestly don't see a good bet on the board here."

Final Day at Keeneland, nice weather, big cards

Race 3 has some nice horses running on the mile turf course...the 2-Mrs Astor has run in Graded Stakes and will get bet for that…solid trainer jock stats so shouldn’t be overlooked…I prefer the 3-New Rome who will take advantage of the lack of speed (:24/:50?) and could wire them…the 9-Excellent Question’s trainer Walsh gets hot here at the end of this meet typically…the 5-Pallota Sisters has a Pedigree (Cairo Prince) that dominates here and ran against tepid fractions in Tampa to run a string 2nd last time out

got the 7 home as a single

alive to a healthy early pick 5 (in order of preference)

5,3,2,9/5,3,2,4/3,6,10,8,2

jump in, the hell else you doing on a rainy Friday? Yard work?

Race 4…Older Maidens running…15 of these since 2021, only 1 first time starter has won…4 YO have an advantage but the 3 YO's, 5-Barbara T and the 2-Barbtourage (Ward) have faced tough company...the 3-Pontresnia and the 4-Dee Minus possess the speed that has been need in these races in the recent past

Race 5 wide open, yet disappointing end to a chalky P5 (alive to the 2,3,6,8,10)...late P5 should be more challenging and hopefully more profitable

Hit the eraly for 188...


Late p5, final one for the season

1, 2 / 2, 5, 6, 9, 10 / 1, 3, 8 / 1, 5, 8, 10, 11 / 3, 6, 9, 10

getting through the 1st leg? Man I hope so.

Race 8...here’s a horse I’m excited about…the 3-Tower Bridge…has distance both top and bottom...daddy Street Sense looms large here at Keeneland…trainer DeVuax is quite good and has had a quietly strong meet…could blow up the tote based on the 20/1 ml (although with the scratch of the favorite, maybe not)

Race 9 the 10-Braganza romped here at this distance and no jock is better at this 7f length then Saez

Race 10 the 8-Catch a Wave…Flavien Prat last 2 years Turf Route here at Kee, $2.38 ROI

Race 7...Logial favorite the 9-Alcove can certainly get it done at 3-1...the 5-Beckster's mom (Curlin N Twirlin) has had winners in three of her first 4 foals, and Brisset wins with first timers...the 6-Stinger Bee is out of a hot barn here this meet...2-World Record, sire Gunrunner is solid here at these conditions...again trainer Brisset gets it done here...

I am going to be honest, going back on my notes that I use I can find no recollection of why I included the 10-Yo Banana Boy, but God Bless me if he wins...could use some good news today