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The Million
http://chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=107872
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Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Thu Aug 10, 2017 8:00 am ]
Post subject:  The Million

Great card for AP I'm looking across the pond 8)

Author:  W_Z [ Thu Aug 10, 2017 10:11 am ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Deauville?

there are some intriguing horses in there. beach patrol has been a goddamn disappointment.

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Thu Aug 10, 2017 1:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Scottish Godolphin/Buick.......a tightener coming in lookout........ the Haskell exacta,the Test, the Whitney I'm on fire
look who is up tomorrow

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Thu Aug 10, 2017 4:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Scottish Godolphin/Buick.......a tightener coming in lookout........ the Haskell exacta,the Test, the Whitney I'm on fire
look who is up tomorrow


I like Divisidero, Mehktaal and Ascend.

Author:  W_Z [ Thu Aug 10, 2017 7:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Ryan Moore and William Buick are great in the UK but here? don't know...

i would stay away from mekhtaal.

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Thu Aug 10, 2017 10:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

W_Z wrote:
Ryan Moore and William Buick are great in the UK but here? don't know...

i would stay away from mekhtaal.


I liked Mekhtaal before reading this article.

"Mekhtaal is a Group 1 stakes winner and that is the first requirement for being a win contender in a Grade 1 race. He is just a 4-year-old so is still not fully mature, which means he can run even better than he did when winning the Prix d'Ispahan Stakes in France in May, with an Equibase Speed Figure of 119 (foreign race figure from STATS Race Lens). That 119 figure was as good as the 119 figure Deauville earned when beaten just a half-length in the 2016 Million. Facing even tougher one month later in the Price of Wales Stakes, Mekhtaal wasn't disgraced one bit when beaten just three lengths by multiple group and grade 1 stakes winner Highland Reel and earning a 120 figure. Only worse than second one time in six races at this mile and a quarter trip on grass and with champion jockey Frankie Dettori coming across the pond to ride, Mekhtaal also has a perfect 3-for-3 record on firm turf and could be the one to beat in this year's Arlington Million."

https://www.americasbestracing.net/gamb ... on-million

The most speed in the race is Beach Patrol, Pizza Man and Oscar Nominated, in that order. Then comes Ghost Hunter. That doesn't include the Euro-invaders.

On an expected weighted winning percentage basis (graded stakes races only), it goes:

Ascend - 13.4%
Ghost Hunter - 11.4%
Enterprising - 10.4%
Oakbrook/Mekhtaal - 10% and 8.6%

This is a tough race to handicap. No real standout in the field, but a few G1 winners.

Author:  W_Z [ Fri Aug 11, 2017 7:02 am ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

he's drawn in a horrible post.

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Fri Aug 11, 2017 8:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

W_Z wrote:
he's drawn in a horrible post.


Yup. That's why I'm conflicted. All the horses I like are on the outside, and I don't want to make the same mistake as I did with Arklow.

So maybe this race is setup for the speed horses on the inside like Pizza Man, Oscar Nominated and Ghost Hunter? And you have Deauville, too, at the 5 post.

Beach Patrol has the same problem, too far outside.

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Fri Aug 11, 2017 9:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

But I still think Divisidero is the best horse in the race.

Author:  Hockey Gay [ Fri Aug 11, 2017 1:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Gonna go with a friend I think. Should be fun.

Author:  W_Z [ Fri Aug 11, 2017 3:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Dignified Rube wrote:
But I still think Divisidero is the best horse in the race.


he beat beach patrol at churchill on derby day. but i don't think that's a rivalry this time around.

those euro horses are definitely going to be a tough call.

Author:  Hockey Gay [ Fri Aug 11, 2017 3:56 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

I picked up some money from my stepdad to make a bet on Mekhtaal for him.

I have no idea what I'm gonna do yet. I haven't taken any time to study the horses yet.

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 11:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

1st 4-8 exacta box...love Rube hating Geroux makes me like him more :)
2nd 5 Ramsey's at 9/2 a free lunch

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 12:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Walt Williams Neck wrote:
1st 4-8 exacta box...love Rube hating Geroux makes me like him more :)


Sorry, man, I misread your post. Thought you were talking about the Million.

But if you do take Geroux, he will surrender position, like the French did with the Maginot Line.

"J'abandonne!"

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 2:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

I'm going out on a limb for the Million.

1. Beach Patrol
2. Ascend
3. Pizza Man/Oscar Nominated

Did JORR surrender, too?

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 3:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Secretariat tri box 1-3-6

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 3:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Dignified Rube wrote:
I'm going out on a limb for the Million.

1. Beach Patrol
2. Ascend
3. Pizza Man/Oscar Nominated running in the Secretariat


Did JORR surrender, too?

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 4:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

This 8th race at Saratoga looks interesting.

#8 Off Limits the favorite at 1-1, but I'll take

6/5,8/5,8/1

Go Promotional! Nice looking horse.

Big down-pour at Toga.

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 4:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Dignified Rube wrote:
I'm going out on a limb for the Million.

1. Beach Patrol
2. Ascend
3. Pizza Man/Oscar Nominated running in the Secretariat


Did JORR surrender, too?


That's Oscar Performance, Big Chief.

Oscar Nominated is in the Million.

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 4:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

got to right the ship :drunken:

Author:  Hockey Gay [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 5:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

What the fuck is this Nascar shit on my tv? Fucking hillbillies.

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 6:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

my horse had been scratched 10 and 10 Ghost Hunter

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 6:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

B.P.!! Whew!!!

Author:  Hockey Gay [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 6:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Woooo I won!

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 7:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

See how Rosario fought hard for position in that opening quarter? That was the race right there. Masterful job.

You better have been taking notes, Geroux.

Like I said a while ago, Chad Brown in money.

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 7:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Dignified Rube wrote:
I'm going out on a limb for the Million.

1. Beach Patrol
2. Ascend
3. Pizza Man/Oscar Nominated

Did JORR surrender, too?

well.......I lost my ass plus I had to listen to Cornhole sing My Kind of Town

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 7:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

Illinois racing can't be dead.

The Illinois-bred horses performed well today in the Million. Oakbrook, Ghost Hunter and Pizza Man were all in it, fighting tooth and nail.

When I saw Ghost Hunter make his move on the back, I thought Walt was in for a big pay-day.

And over $2 million was wagered on the race.

Great one, very exciting! One day it will be called the Trubisky Million!

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 8:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

I talked Brad H. Cox into getting Joel Rosario next for Arklow.

Fearless jockey. I love the guy.

Author:  W_Z [ Sat Aug 12, 2017 10:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

WE ARE THE BEACH PATROL!

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Wed Aug 16, 2017 5:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Million

great job by those who had the winner board cred is rising

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