Not seeing too many free pps of the Kentucky Downs races.

But here you go, Walt, the win estimates for race 4.

Mongol 33.0%
Next Shares 30.6%
Mr Cub 18.7%
Gettysburg 6.6%

I spent the last week updating my model in consultation with one of the foremost experts on Excel and statistics in the country (and two time Jeopardy winner!). It's now state of the art. I might make it available to people here, but it wouldn't be free. I put a lot of time in the programming. It's automated, making it easy to use.

There's also a couple of stakes races at Indiana Grand today, races 8 and 9.

you're buddy Cox didn't give you da scoop?

I'm not a big gaffer like you or JORR rubbing elbows with owners and trainers....or a member of the AP 10, but I do watch MR. ED
4th Kitten's Gold,Keep an eye on Gaffalione who gets Geroux mounts who is in Indiana with a great chance for a stakes Double

Not quite a gaff how I handicapped the Traverse, was it?

Not seeing too many free pps of the Kentucky Downs races.

But here you go, Walt, the win estimates for race 4.

Mongol 33.0%
Next Shares 30.6%
Mr Cub 18.7%
Gettysburg 6.6%

I spent the last week updating my model in consultation with one of the foremost experts on Excel and statistics in the country (and two time Jeopardy winner!). It's now state of the art. I might make it available to people here, but it wouldn't be free. I put a lot of time in the programming. It's automated, making it easy to use.

There's also a couple of stakes races at Indiana Grand today, races 8 and 9.

All right, Walt. This might be the last time I do this.

Tourist Mile at Kentucky Downs

Shining Copper 26.2%
Applicator 21.0%
Irish Straight 20.7%
Flatlined 12.7%
Hoontenanny 11.6%
Western Reserve 7.7%
Bandar 0.1%
Dimension 0.0%
Zambian 0.0%

Centaur Stakes at Indiana Grand

Harmac 44.0%
Cowboy Culture 30.1%
Strike Your Light 10.6%
Judah 5.5%
Balandeen 4.2%
Dawn Raider 3.2%
Jocker Justice 1.2%
Tiz a Slam 1.2%

I'm not a big gaffer like you or JORR rubbing elbows with owners and trainers....or a member of the AP 10, but I do watch MR. ED
4th Kitten's Gold,Keep an eye on Gaffalione who gets Geroux mounts who is in Indiana with a great chance for a stakes Double

All right, Walt. This might be the last time I do this.

Tourist Mile at Kentucky Downs

Shining Copper 26.2%
Applicator 21.0%
Irish Straight 20.7%
Flatlined 12.7%
Hoontenanny 11.6%
Western Reserve 7.7%
Bandar 0.1%
Dimension 0.0%
Zambian 0.0%

Wow, looks like I had the right four---Applicator, Flatlined, Shining Copper, Irish Straight was the order.

Saturday KD $6,044,717.15 up more than 30% & 2nd highest in track history. Sorry Rube but I find for a guy ho didn't know what pari-mutuel was making his own odds a stretch....and if you use JORR "SYSTEM" wouldn't you pick the same horses?

I don't use a "system", Walt. I simply evaluate what I think a horse's chances are vis-a-vis his actual odds.

No, point in even talking to him, JORR. You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make him drink. And I'm not making anything up. I use the best quantitative approach, simulating the races 1,000 times to calculate the odds.

For people who have followed what JORR has said about how he bets, you have a better chance of winning over time with that approach than trying to bet the favorite. To use a baseball analogy, you're aiming to hit for triples and home runs, not singles and doubles. With good odds-making, the higher odds compensates mathematically for a lower winning percentage.