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 Post subject: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Thu Jul 14, 2022 12:09 pm 
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Solid opening day card, very difficult late Pick 5 sequence...Race 3 the 2-Be Here has won last two, and I find it hard to bet on 3 in a row, but he's done it in different styles which I like

JORR, Walt, Rube, Hawg, the retarded one...let's go...these wagers don't make themselves


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Thu Jul 14, 2022 12:28 pm 
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Looks like your guy is scratched in the third. I'm likely to go with Street Copper. He should be a good overlay in a race that looks pretty evenly matched. Doubles with him to 1 and and 2 in the fourth.

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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Thu Jul 14, 2022 12:33 pm 
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Love the Spa 2nd race 4 poppin upset

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Thu Jul 14, 2022 12:45 pm 
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WTF . Six scratches in race 3?


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Thu Jul 14, 2022 1:06 pm 
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nice long shot...Race 6 the 1-Starrystarrynight literally getting faster each race, gets the rail and Jose Ortiz up...facing winners for the 1st timw and a huge step up but can get it done at a price

and BTW, earlier Race 1...not a great horse, but an awesome name:Auburn Hills out of Palace Malice :lol: :lol: that's getting it done right


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Thu Jul 14, 2022 1:10 pm 
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Good luck all, have a day!!!!

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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Thu Jul 14, 2022 1:59 pm 
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Motherfucker! I wish he would have stayed low.

Image

Moving along, in the sixth if I can get 6/1 or better on the 10, I'm firing.

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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Thu Jul 14, 2022 2:30 pm 
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Yeah I liked that horse quite a bit...thought that exacta came out a little light given the WPS payouts


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Thu Jul 14, 2022 2:48 pm 
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11/1 Jorr, I am watching.

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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Thu Jul 14, 2022 3:01 pm 
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43-1. Lot of pick 5s just went in the trash.


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 1:22 pm 
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Fridays Late Pick 5 thoughts...

Race 6-Not sure who will cross the wire first, but mark my words, it’s going to be a hell of a finish…both the 7-Ruse and the 9-Grape Nuts Warrior have just missed at this level and both fit, as do the 4-Danzigwiththestars and the 5-Straw Gold

Race 7-longer distance and few of these have gone that far…the 5-Will E Sutton is the only one to win at this distance…the 6-I am the Cash Man is bred to run farther and seems to fit…I’ll also be including the 9-Roman Empire, and although not a big fan of Carmouche as the jock, he won in very similar circumstances yesterday so I’m including him

Race 8- the scratch of the 3 opens this up a bit…the 6-Derrynane is 6:2-1-1 at this distance on grass…the 7-Static Fire has raced twice and won both…the 8-Poppy Flower beat the 4 and the 6 last out and feel compelled to use him, and perhaps even the 10-Mystic Eyes who gets Saez in the irons after several good rides yesterday

Race 9-3-Mira Mission may be best horse on paper facing some grueling G1 competition, we’ll see about the ride the jock gives him…also including Cox’x 1-Set Piece and the 7-Public Sector and perhaps the 8-Atone

Race 10 including the 2-Rossa Veloce, who may be the best but will have to fire off the bench, and the 3-Khalil Magic, plus big bomb alert!!! the 4-Wailin Josie just missed with several of these horses the last few weeks, could turn the tables at a huge price.

A work in progress, I’ll need to trim a couple before punching the Pick 5 Ticket


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 2:02 pm 
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The $120,000 carryover has me playing despite NYRA's egregious bump up in takeout on the carry.

Here's my ticket:

5,6,12 with 3 with 1,4,6 with 6,7 with 1,3,7,8,10 with 1,2,3,7,9


I haven't done a whole lot of work on tomorrow's card but I can tell you I will be playing against Reinvestment Risk who figures to be a very short price. I don't think this is a good spot for him. I think River Dog could wire that field at a pretty big price.

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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 2:12 pm 
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damn thought I'd sneak the 10-Al's Prince through at 4/1 ml...guess not..still keying him in the tri with the 1,2,3,7,9,12 for $45

Xpressbet has a cool function that allows you to look at the will pays for Trifectas


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 2:18 pm 
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Colonial Downs just had a handle of over 3 Mil on a fucking Monday, I think in large part due to them dropping the takeout (15% on pick 5)...I've quit playing Pick 4's completely and only focus (or "fuck us" as Ozzie would say) on P5


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 2:41 pm 
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Nice hit on that 5 JORR, didn't care for him myself but was way wrong

P5 ticket 4, 9 / 5, 6, 9 / 6, 7, 8 / 1, 3, 7 / 2, 3, 4, 7


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 2:47 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Nice hit on that 5 JORR, didn't care for him myself but was way wrong

P5 ticket 4, 9 / 5, 6, 9 / 6, 7, 8 / 1, 3, 7 / 2, 3, 4, 7



If I can make it through this leg, I'll be in really good shape. I built the ticket around singling the 3 because I thought he was going to be a good overlay. For me he's 9/2 or 5/1 in here. I didn't think he'd be this big though. I should have played the double.

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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 3:00 pm 
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And them's the breaks. All jammed up. Almost a certain winner if he gets clearance. Tough fucking game.

You got a nice start in the PK-5.

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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 3:35 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
P5 ticket 4, 9 / 5, 6, 9 / 6, 7, 8 / 1, 3, 7 / 2, 3, 4, 7



What the fuck! Do you just have to use both shithead brothers in every race in multis at this place?

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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 3:47 pm 
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:puker:


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 3:56 pm 
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Pick 3 6, 7, 8, 10 / 1, 3, 7 / 4 the 4-Wailin Josie is a 6 YO mare who has run 3 of her fastest races last out and against this company, can see her turning the tables at a big price


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 4:23 pm 
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this is going swimmingly


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 4:39 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Fridays Late Pick 5 thoughts...



Race 9-3-Mira Mission may be best horse on paper facing some grueling G1 competition, we’ll see about the ride the jock gives him…also including Cox’x 1-Set Piece and the 7-Public Sector and perhaps the 8-Atone



keying on the 3


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 4:47 pm 
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geez, take the cocaine away from the TV Director...anyone else bothered by the incessant cutting between cameras during a one minute race?


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 4:52 pm 
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Finale- :D 4 gettin faster


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 5:24 pm 
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paid $11 for 3rd..like chipping in on 18 after a shitty round...oh well i'll be back tomorrow


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 6:49 pm 
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I’ll be up in WI most of the day tomorrow so if I make any picks I have to do them before final scratches.


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 10:00 pm 
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Carryover rolls again. Back at it tomorrow.

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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 10:42 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Carryover rolls again. Back at it tomorrow.


Was Jean Jacket Joe betting on these races?

Usually to make the point to my CEO that anyone can do X or nobody would do this deal because guy X could have some veto power, I default to “a homeless guy” as the reference. (I agree not very professional, but they put up with me for some reason.)

Last meeting with the boss I said something like “ Nobody would agree to these terms because next thing you know you are in a JV with Jean Jacket Joe”.


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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 10:57 pm 
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:lol: I haven't seen Jean Jacket Joe in awhile. If i had to guess I'd say he frequents the OTB in either Prospect Heights or Oak Brook.

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 Post subject: Re: Saratoga 2022
PostPosted: Sat Jul 16, 2022 11:27 am 
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1st race Saturday

I kinda like Pletcher's 2nd horse here at a price small Win Place bet on 4-Knot the One


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