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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 11:55 am 
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In the fourth race both the 6 Master Game and the 9 Almanzo are first time geldings from sharp outfits. I have to believe cutting a colt and then pointing to this meet with its $150,000 maiden purses is a sign of real intent.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 1:35 pm 
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Race 4…best bet in this one is the 4-Sutherland..2/3 on the turf and today might be graduation day…solid jock and great trainer numbers (21% 3rd off layoff)…Longshot! The 7-Vinco tries turf for the 1st time and bred to mow the lawn, at a huge price…I agree with you, JORR,...The 9-Almanzo had a bad outing last and may scare away some bettors, but has a real chance here…two previous turf efforts were quite strong…The 11-Street Fight…solid turf pedigree and back sprinting where he belongs and has much stronger speed numbers


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 2:38 pm 
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This 5th race is crazy nobody right now is less than 9/2...someones going to make some money..2-Maxwell Esquire...last out , throw out?...4-Bad Beat Brian, current fav...may leave out in search of value..6-Bakers Bay huge trainer numbers and won at this distance on this track

2 6 7 9 10 exacta box


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 2:48 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
This 5th race is crazy nobody right now is less than 9/2...someones going to make some money..2-Maxwell Esquire...last out , throw out?...4-Bad Beat Brian, current fav...may leave out in search of value..6-Bakers Bay huge trainer numbers and won at this distance on this track

2 6 7 9 10 exacta box
:roll:


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 3:01 pm 
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Race 7 strong leans into both the 6 and the 8

Race 9 Heavily on the 3 and the 12


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 3:03 pm 
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Late Pick 4

2, 4, 5, 8
6, 8
1, 4, 5, 8
1, 3, 12


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 3:26 pm 
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Exacta Box 6 (my guy CB) 8 (Cox/Geroux, nice tune up in the am) and the 11 (Walsh and Gaflionne getting a huge price, will dig into some of that as well)


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 3:28 pm 
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Hammering the 11 :D :drunken: :alien: :shock: :lol: :twisted: :roll:


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 3:31 pm 
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Good call on Sutherland.

I'm really high on the 1 in the 7th race at this price. She should step up off that first start in North America. Seemed reasonably competitive in European Group 1 races. She was all bottled up in the stretch in that last start.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 3:43 pm 
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P3
11
1, 4, 8, 9
1, 3, 12

Boy if he (11-Majestic d'oro) hits whoo boy
Walsh/Gafflione
a 1st and a 2nd last two out in stakes company

im just sayin


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Tue Sep 13, 2022 3:55 pm 
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Not a great day today

final...

race 9 exacta 3 12/all

see you tomorrow


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Wed Sep 14, 2022 11:58 am 
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Couple early thoughts

Race 1…3-Tiffanys Mo Ran very strong at this level at CD this summer, fits, currently 5/1 off a 12/1 morning line, somebody else likes him…5-Shady Road…had trouble in last but still popped a good turf speed number, cuts back…7-Inrigue…first turf but pedigree is strong, gets Irad…10-Lenni Be Lucky…trainer Sharp wins 16% of the time on turf and has Rosario up currently a juicy 14/1

Huge fields all day long on the final day.

There are 54 horses in the Final P5…lots and lots of losing tickets, so whoever wins will be bringing back a lot of money.


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Wed Sep 14, 2022 12:48 pm 
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just throwing this out there

Race 2 ex box 3 6 9
Race 3 WPS on a nice longshot 12, draws in off the AE's

Race 5 Keying the 1 and 8 in an exacta

maybe more later from work

Good luck


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