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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Fri May 05, 2023 6:16 pm 
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Overall a pretty miserable day. Must do better tomorrow :roll:


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Fri May 05, 2023 6:44 pm 
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W_Z wrote:
i feel like derma is going to get bet down, even with all the things going against him history wise...although with the scratches, his post position has probably dramatically improved.

it should be a wide open race, but that can be a total mind fuck in trying to figure out tri's/super's.


To wit...

Todays payouts on the Pick 4 and Pick 5

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/14/4/10) Paid $25,665.75 (4OF4)

$0.50 Pick 5 (1/8/14/4/10) Paid $493,358.49 (5OF5)

someone, somewhere is celebrating tonight.

And tomorrow?


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Fri May 05, 2023 7:37 pm 
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I already bailed on a bet I wanted to make that would have netted me $200. I’m on tilt, so whoopee. I’m fucked tomorrow.


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 8:06 am 
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Two Phil's seems to have the most natural talent in the race, but he hasn't beaten anyone.

The oddsmakers are putting a premium on Forte's class, but discounting Two Phil's and Practical Move's speed.

I like Two Phil's, Angel of Empire, Practical Move and Skinner. The winner could be any of the first three.

My gut says it's Angel of Empire and Cox but Practical Move and Skinner will be tough down the stretch after dueling in the Santa Anita.


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 8:13 am 
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Forte is scratched.

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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 8:53 am 
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Hawg Ass wrote:
Forte is scratched.


I had just bet on the horse. Was able to cancel and take Angel of Empire.

I bet $588,230.0 dollars.

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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 8:57 am 
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Man fuck that owner. Kept saying yesterday and all week how great he looked. I had the inside knowledge Thursday night and thought it was just Twitter Feed nonsense.


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 10:28 am 
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Race 3...decent amount of pace on the outside...the 5-King Ottoman sits off the pace and makes a late move...dropping down to 2/1 though...using in exacta


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 11:04 am 
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Mid Pick 5
2 / 4, 5, 7 / 3, 9, 12 / 8, 10, 14 / 5, 9, 13, 14

Think the 14 should've come down in that last one


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 11:20 am 
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Pletcher just now on Forte scratch..."This year scrutiny was high." :roll:


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 11:48 am 
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Race 6 Love the 3-Baby Yoda...Trainer Williams numbers through the roof in this situation, workout tabs shows he means business...very fair at 3-1


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 12:02 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Race 6 Love the 3-Baby Yoda...Trainer Williams numbers through the roof in this situation, workout tabs shows he means business...very fair at 3-1




Loved Cado Rivers last the cutback to 7f and this bunch a tad easier?

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 12:32 pm 
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WALT!!!! Happy Derby day


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 12:39 pm 
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Race 7 Longshot 8-Just Might draws my attention off his latest effort at Keeneland...20/1 WPS bet


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 12:43 pm 
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Somebody go wake up JORR (and Rube, and genius)...lets go people


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 12:46 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Race 7 Longshot 8-Just Might draws my attention off his latest effort at Keeneland...20/1 WPS bet





Bad Beat Brian the Husband?Wife team and an exacta box Big Invasion & BBB time for a julip Good Luck to all

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 1:02 pm 
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Wow! Rivelli with the huge upset


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 1:15 pm 
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Showing all my work, for better or worse

Stakes Pick 5
5, 9, 14 / 1, 4, 11 / 4, 6, 7 / 7, 8, 9 / 5, 11, 14, 17

betting against the 1 in the 1st leg


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 1:37 pm 
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I am a sucker for it...but the Tim Leyden video essay on Secretariat (see left) was just outstanding television.


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 1:42 pm 
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Win or lose this next race has incredible odds...7/2 favorite (I'm against, but don't trust me) and then 4,5,6,9 to one...hit it and you'll get paid


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 2:10 pm 
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Race 9 Key Trifecta box the 1-Major Dude with the 4,5,7,8,11 for $30


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 3:15 pm 
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Sorry for the redboard. I'm getting drunk. I had a hell of a day.

Image

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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 3:21 pm 
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yeah, thanks for your help, asshole :lol: :lol: :lol: :alien:


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 3:27 pm 
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Race 10 6 Win Place


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 4:01 pm 
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Late P5 Race 10

4, 6, 7 / 7, 8, 9 / 5, 6, 11, 14, 17 / 2, 3 / 2, 10, 12

still deciding on how to approach the Derby...thought it was a superfecta ...still may be


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 4:26 pm 
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Scratches

Forte
Lord Miles
Continuar
Practical Move
Skinner


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 4:56 pm 
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Riding with Two Phils

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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 4:57 pm 
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Well I bet him in the Derby futures can't get off Verifying NOW :!:

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 5:15 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
A week away, still awaiting the post draw. But not too early to start the conversation...my early thoughts

Tier One-Likely Winners
Tapit Trice (Could win the Belmont as well)
Derma Sotogake
Disarm
Angel Of Empire



kinda thought these 4 would've been a little more money


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Kentucky Derby
PostPosted: Sat May 06, 2023 5:16 pm 
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Hey, drunken JORR, who you got?

Or should I just wait :lol: :lol:


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