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 Post subject: Churchill Downs
PostPosted: Fri Sep 15, 2023 8:31 am 
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4th Race: 8-Going the Distance may go the distance today. I expect her to be on the lead and I think she'll be a lot better on the turf. Chance to go all the way at a big price.

7th Race: 9-Django looks like he's sitting on his maiden breaker for Kenny "Two Turn" McPeek. I also expect improvement from 7-Allied Victory.

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 Post subject: Re: Churchill Downs
PostPosted: Fri Sep 15, 2023 12:32 pm 
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Race 4 Keep an eye on the 2-Mon Dieu impeccably bred (as well as JORR’s 8-Going the Distance…Because…

…he's racing and pacing and plotting the course
He's fighting and biting and riding on his horse
The sun has gone down and the moon has come up
And long ago somebody left with the cup
But he's striving and driving and hugging the turns
And thinking of someone for whom he still burns
'Cause he's going the distance
He's going for speed
)



6th race lots and lots of speed on the outside sets it up nicely for the 2-What’s To Do…look for the 1-Coexist to finish ITM at a good price

In the 7th I like the 1-LeGris on the rail on the rail quite a bit

Race 8 the 3-American Rascal was impressive 1st out at Kee, the had some trouble overseas at Ascot (and who among us, right?) the 5-Call Me Andy is one of several exiting the same race at Ellis Park last month and think he is sitting on a big one

Race 9 the 7-Lady Hideaway has been facing much tougher…should get a nice pocket trip and mow them down in the end…speed will come from the 5 and the 9…Jock Hernandez just needs to get her to relax


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 Post subject: Re: Churchill Downs
PostPosted: Fri Sep 15, 2023 1:21 pm 
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It sucks to get run over by a $185 horse.

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 Post subject: Re: Churchill Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 16, 2023 12:59 am 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Race 4 Keep an eye on the 2-Mon Dieu impeccably bred NOPE (as well as JORR’s 8-Going the Distance NICE CALL FOR A PRICE JORR

6th race lots and lots of speed on the outside sets it up nicely for the 2-What’s To Do NOT EVEN…look for the 1-Coexist to finish ITM at a good price $25 winner saved my day

In the 7th I like the 1-LeGris on the rail on the rail quite a bit but i was wrong

Race 8 the 3-American Rascal was impressive 1st out at Kee, the had some trouble overseas at Ascot (and who among us, right?) NOPE he 5-Call Me Andy is one of several exiting the same race at Ellis Park last month and think he is sitting on a big one good 3rd

Race 9 the 7-Lady Hideaway has been facing much tougher…should get a nice pocket trip and mow them down in the end…speed will come from the 5 and the 9…Jock Hernandez just needs to get her to relax 4th which pays nothing


see ya later


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 Post subject: Re: Churchill Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 16, 2023 7:31 am 
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I will be making one big play at Churchill today. I bet a lot of 20/1 shots and enough of them win to make it worthwhile, but rarely do I see a horse that I think has the best chance in the race at 20/1 on the morning line. Raining Sugar is the 3/1 favorite on my personal odds line for the Pocahontas. Now, she only raced two days ago so she's a likely scratch, but if Riley Mott actually wheels her back today, I am firing.

Other than that I will be focusing on Woodbine where they have a really good card in spite of a weak Woodbine Mile and I have a fighting chance against the CAWs on the Tapeta.

Pick-4 starting in the fourth race: 1.3/5/1,2,5,11/2,3,6,8

I'll also be pressing the 1 in the first leg and pressing against Patches O'Houlihan in the last leg. Leg 3 may change a little as there are several fillies double-entered today.

Finally, the best bet of today comes in the last rast at Woodbine Mohawk Harness where there is a huge carryover and mandatory payout in the Super High Five. Here is my buddy's Player's Guide to the race:
https://woodbine.com/mohawk/mohawk-news ... ntoniades/

I'll probably be keying American History and HP Momentum in the top spot.

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 Post subject: Re: Churchill Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 16, 2023 7:35 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It sucks to get run over by a $185 horse.


92-1? Won by almost 2 lengths? :shock:

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