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 Post subject: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Sat Jan 20, 2024 3:00 pm 
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Starts today at the Fair Grounds with the Lemonte like Nash to bounce back effort his dull effort in the gun Runner. Good li=uck chaps

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Sat Jan 20, 2024 3:18 pm 
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I will be singling Can Group.

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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Sat Jan 20, 2024 5:31 pm 
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At Fairgrounds for LECOMTE Stakes good for 20 points towards the Kentucky Derby…down to 6 runners…I think the rematch between Nash and Track Phenom should produce the winner


Race 5 strong Maiden field Hall of Fame will get most of the action I believe after his 2nd at first asking at Churchill…I like the 9-NIGHT OUT

Race 8 I like both of the Curlin Sire’s on debut 7-Exploration and 10-Cornishman

nice card but rather chalky


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Sun Jan 21, 2024 8:03 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I will be singling Can Group.



I got live to $27,000 and that son of a gun wouldn't pick up his feet.

Image

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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2024 3:38 pm 
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Not a Derby prep, but today at Fairgrounds Race 8-Upon a Star...according to Equibase...

"SIRE: Munnings, Fair Grounds, Dirt Sprint: Past 5 Years: 71 Starts, 19 Wins, 27% Win%, 48% ITM%, +79% ROI, $3.58

Late Pick 5

1,3,6,8,9/3,6,7/2,6/3,5,8/1,4,5

knock em dead


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Thu Feb 01, 2024 5:59 pm 
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Not my day...the Pick 5 will pay from 1.5 K to 93 K

The 6-Upon a Star ran a solid 2nd


see you all tomorrow


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 10:44 am 
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Traditional PK-6 (non-jackpot) carryovers.

I haven't see the scratches yet, but here's my plan:

FG:

3,6,9,10/6,8/1/2,3,4,8/11/1,3,4,6

SA:

2/3/6/ALL/1,6/1,2

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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 1:06 pm 
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SA is off the Turf today and probably all weekend


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 2:07 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
SA is off the Turf today and probably all weekend



Come on, man. It never rains in Southern California!

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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 2:13 pm 
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It pours man, it pours.


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 3:34 pm 
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At Fairgrounds alive to the 1, 4 and 5 in the early Pick 5

alive to 1,4,5,6,7,8/2.5/8.9.11/2,6 in the Late Pick 5

no early P5 at Santa Anita, not enough runners...may punch a late Pick 5


good luck if you're playing


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 4:02 pm 
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Ok ($1,044) and still alive going forward as well to

2,5/8,9,11/2,6

and Late Pick 5 at Santa Anita
1,3/1,5/1,2,3,5,6,8/5,6/1,2,6,8


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 4:26 pm 
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Don't know what I was thinking excluding Loveberry on the route...oh well...


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 5:51 pm 
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and through some sloppy work, I have another SA ticket...pretty similar though
5/1,5,6/3,4,6/1,6/1,2,6,8


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 9:21 pm 
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I'm rooting for the underdog Uncle Heavy in the Withers. Coming off a nice win after upsetting a 1/5 horse in a $200K graded stakes race for 2 yr. olds in December at Parx in the mud. Looks like he could run all day.

Seminole Chief looks interesting as well. He's the class and is the speed horse in the race at 12-1. On a win percentage basis alone he's got almost 3-1 value. He'll be pressing early. Could run away with it.

This is a good betting race if the live odds materialize anything close to the M/L prices.

The likely winner of the Holy Bull seems to be a foregone conclusion.


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Sat Feb 03, 2024 1:36 pm 
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Southwest: Liberal Arts won in the goo @ CD
Withers: Miss Beach stretching out and Dylan Davis been riding his ass off
Holy Bull: No beat Repole's horse looks too good
Robert Lewis: Tri box Baffert

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Sat Feb 03, 2024 2:10 pm 
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I think Risk It is the nuts in the Swale. Hope to get a good enough price.

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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Sat Feb 03, 2024 2:42 pm 
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Late Pick 5 Gulfstream...
1,6,7/6,7,8 (huge price)/4,6,7/9/1,7

Early Pick 5 SA
1,2/2,6,7/2,5,6/1,4,7/6

Late P5 SA
3,8,10/4,7/2,3,5,6/3,4,6/2,5,7,9

Early P5 Fairgrounds
Still a good card despite the mud, thinking it might dry out
3,6/5,6,7/2,4/2,3,7/4,6,13,14

Late P5 Fairgrounds
2,5,6/8,10,11/6,7/4,5,6,8/2,7,11

Make some money boys


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Sat Feb 03, 2024 3:21 pm 
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Walt, I'm with you on Liberal Arts in the Southwest, I have him boxed with Awesome Road, Otto The Conquerer with Carbone underneath for the exacta


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Sat Feb 03, 2024 3:59 pm 
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Yeah, Uncle Heavy!!

Pennsylvania horse!


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Sat Feb 03, 2024 4:02 pm 
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Nice Hit!


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Mon Feb 05, 2024 3:02 pm 
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The best horse Saturday won't run the 1st Saturday in May

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Mon Feb 05, 2024 4:42 pm 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
The best horse Saturday won't run the 1st Saturday in May


The best science project won't run. That's for sure. He will be loaded up with God knows what to win the Haskell and the Parx Derby.

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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Mon Feb 05, 2024 6:29 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Walt Williams Neck wrote:
The best horse Saturday won't run the 1st Saturday in May


The best science project won't run. That's for sure. He will be loaded up with God knows what to win the Haskell and the Parx Derby.

You still think Bob is cheating?

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Mon Feb 05, 2024 6:54 pm 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Walt Williams Neck wrote:
The best horse Saturday won't run the 1st Saturday in May


The best science project won't run. That's for sure. He will be loaded up with God knows what to win the Haskell and the Parx Derby.

You still think Bob is cheating?



How could it be that the same guy has a Horse of a Lifetime almost every year? If he's that good everyone else should quit in embarrassment.

People are worried about the Derby having an asterisk because he isn't allowed to race. I give every Derby Baffert has won an asterisk.

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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Tue Feb 06, 2024 5:02 pm 
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With Baffert it's not about race day medication, it's about recovery and training medication.


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Wed Feb 07, 2024 4:29 pm 
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ShortTimeLurker wrote:
With Baffert it's not about race day medication, it's about recovery and training medication.



Yeah, and whatever he's using is more exotic than what the typical guy has.

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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 09, 2024 1:26 pm 
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After California cracked down, some barn's win % fell off. But with Baffert he has the best stock and the best chemists and like I said last post his method is between races not on race day.
So he just rolling along.


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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 09, 2024 1:46 pm 
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ShortTimeLurker wrote:
After California cracked down, some barn's win % fell off. But with Baffert he has the best stock and the best chemists and like I said last post his method is between races not on race day.
So he just rolling along.


I don't think he has the "best stock." That's the excuse his apologists give to defend his absurd results. Medina Spirit was a $1000 horse. American Pharoah was an RNA. Real Quiet was a $36,000 horse. I'm not saying he has no high priced stock. But he's winning classic races with donkeys too.

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 Post subject: Re: Road to the Derby
PostPosted: Fri Feb 09, 2024 1:58 pm 
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Does Baffert have the #1 ranking in stock quality, I don't know. He does have owners with deep pockets willing to spend that money.
I will guess there are very few trainers who would not trade their barn for his.


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