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PostPosted: Thu Oct 25, 2018 10:41 am 
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What happened to the original thread title?

Darkhorse MVP! :lol:

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 25, 2018 10:41 am 
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Furious Styles wrote:
What happened to the original thread title?

Darkhorse MVP! :lol:


After self reflection, I didn't find it politically correct.


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 25, 2018 11:43 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
I've been watching Lavine on defense. It's not that he's not trying, he's just really bad at it.


Lavine is not bad on the ball but he is terrible off the ball. He gets rung up on screens and he turns his head a lot.
He should be better defensively but he might turn out to be serviceable.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 25, 2018 11:45 am 
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Nas wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Is this guy for real or is he just the best player on a bad team? I am getting pretty excited that the Bulls have a real star.

And I wish people would stop saying Cam Payne (sounds like campaign). Just call him Payne.


It's a bad team but he appears to have taken a step.


$20 Million looks like a bargain now.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:01 pm 
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Through the Bulls first 8 games, Zach Lavine is a -78. He has only had two games with a positive +/-, +5 and +3.

In his four games scoring 30 points or more, he is a -28 and he was positive in none of them.

More more Lavine plays (and scores), the more the Bulls lose by.

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Last edited by IMU on Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:03 pm 
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+/- is useless for evaluating basketball.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:06 pm 
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Caller Bob wrote:
+/- is useless for evaluating basketball.

In a single game, to evaluate a single player, you may be right.

But Lavine has been in the league for five years now. When he is on the court, the other team is outscoring his team. He directly contributes to his team losing. He often has the single worst +/- on the team. Zach Lavine isn't the first of his kind. Recent NBA history is full of these Monta Ellis type players. If you are simply looking at points in a box score and nothing else, they may look like good players.

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Last edited by IMU on Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:07 pm 
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Get a (real) coach that teaches defense, mix in some very good defenders and you can hide his defense.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:09 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Through the Bulls first 8 games, Zach Lavine is a -78. He has only had two games with a positive +/-, +5 and +3.

In his four games scoring 30 points or more, he is a -28 and he was positive in none of them.

More more Lavine plays (and scores), the more the Bulls lose by.



How much of this was accrued during the G.S. game?

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:10 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
+/- is useless for evaluating basketball.

In a single game, to evaluate a single player, you may be right.
So in a single game, a stat may not tell the whole story. But when you have a large enough sample size of said stat, it can tell you something about the player.

Interesting.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:11 pm 
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Caller Bob wrote:
Get a (real) coach that teaches defense, mix in some very good defenders and you can hide his defense.


I actually agree. I didn't know if he was a guy you could win with but now i am convinced that he is. Lavine has No. 1 scoring option type ability. Those kind of guys don't grow on trees.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:25 pm 
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This thread reminds me of the 70s and 80s where Sox fans called Chet Lemon and Harold "our" all stars.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:28 pm 
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Regular Reader wrote:
This thread reminds me of the 70s and 80s where Sox fans called Chet Lemon and Harold "our" all stars.

The White Sox retiring Baines number in 1989, while still playing is still one of the most bizarre things ever :lol:


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:29 pm 
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Letting Omar Vizquel use a retired number (11) was even stranger.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:52 pm 
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Two games now he goes for the winning shot and loses the ball. WTF?

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 5:16 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
IMU wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
+/- is useless for evaluating basketball.

In a single game, to evaluate a single player, you may be right.
So in a single game, a stat may not tell the whole story. But when you have a large enough sample size of said stat, it can tell you something about the player.

Interesting.

Yes. Think of it as runs and pitcher losses. Max Scherzer sometimes gives up 0 ER and loses. Is Max Scherzer a bad pitcher?

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 5:17 pm 
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long time guy wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
Get a (real) coach that teaches defense, mix in some very good defenders and you can hide his defense.


I actually agree. I didn't know if he was a guy you could win with but now i am convinced that he is. Lavine has No. 1 scoring option type ability. Those kind of guys don't grow on trees.

Zach Lavine couldn't even start on half the playoff teams in the league.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 5:32 pm 
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IMU wrote:
long time guy wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
Get a (real) coach that teaches defense, mix in some very good defenders and you can hide his defense.


I actually agree. I didn't know if he was a guy you could win with but now i am convinced that he is. Lavine has No. 1 scoring option type ability. Those kind of guys don't grow on trees.

Zach Lavine couldn't even start on half the playoff teams in the league.

That's just plain not true.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 6:15 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
IMU wrote:
long time guy wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
Get a (real) coach that teaches defense, mix in some very good defenders and you can hide his defense.


I actually agree. I didn't know if he was a guy you could win with but now i am convinced that he is. Lavine has No. 1 scoring option type ability. Those kind of guys don't grow on trees.

Zach Lavine couldn't even start on half the playoff teams in the league.

That's just plain not true.


Yep. Zach Lavine is looking like a big time steal at this point. He is better than what i thought. Has to get better on D but he has the type of offensive game that can compensate for it.

He has a complete offensive game.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 8:09 am 
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Then why has he not compensated for it? Why can't he outscore the other team? Why are the other teams scorers always better?

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 1:06 pm 
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Give Zach Lavine the ball and get out of the way.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 1:30 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Then why has he not compensated for it? Why can't he outscore the other team? Why are the other teams scorers always better?

He has compensated for it.

It is difficult for one player to outscore an entire NBA team.

Other teams scorers aren't always better.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 1:38 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
IMU wrote:
Then why has he not compensated for it? Why can't he outscore the other team? Why are the other teams scorers always better?

He has compensated for it.

It is difficult for one player to outscore an entire NBA team.

Other teams scorers aren't always better.

https://www.foxsports.com/nba/chicago-b ... ISC&time=0

If you find Bulls lineups of any 5 guys excluding Lavine, you will find the Bulls are more competitive without him than with him.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 1:47 pm 
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IMU wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
IMU wrote:
Then why has he not compensated for it? Why can't he outscore the other team? Why are the other teams scorers always better?

He has compensated for it.

It is difficult for one player to outscore an entire NBA team.

Other teams scorers aren't always better.

https://www.foxsports.com/nba/chicago-b ... ISC&time=0

If you find Bulls lineups of any 5 guys excluding Lavine, you will find the Bulls are more competitive without him than with him.

No you won't. You're misunderstanding what those numbers are representing. There's a reason that the guys who have started the most games all have the worst +/-.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 2:02 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
IMU wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
IMU wrote:
Then why has he not compensated for it? Why can't he outscore the other team? Why are the other teams scorers always better?

He has compensated for it.

It is difficult for one player to outscore an entire NBA team.

Other teams scorers aren't always better.

https://www.foxsports.com/nba/chicago-b ... ISC&time=0

If you find Bulls lineups of any 5 guys excluding Lavine, you will find the Bulls are more competitive without him than with him.

No you won't. You're misunderstanding what those numbers are representing. There's a reason that the guys who have started the most games all have the worst +/-.

I knew'd you go that route. So take a look at another bad team: https://www.foxsports.com/nba/orlando-m ... ISC&time=0

Their best player has a better +/- than all of the other players on his team that start alongside him and play the same types of minutes. Out of anyone with a real amount of minutes, he has their best +/- (but admittedly it is still negative because they suck.)

I'm not expecting Lavine to be +300 when the season ends. But he should not be in the Bottom 5 in the league in plus-minus, which he is now.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 2:11 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
IMU wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
+/- is useless for evaluating basketball.

In a single game, to evaluate a single player, you may be right.
So in a single game, a stat may not tell the whole story. But when you have a large enough sample size of said stat, it can tell you something about the player.

Interesting.

Yes. Think of it as runs and pitcher losses. Max Scherzer sometimes gives up 0 ER and loses. Is Max Scherzer a bad pitcher?
Max Scherzer has a career W-L record of 159-82.

Now a guy with a record of say 84-83 is decidedly mediocre, even though he had a great game here and there.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 2:17 pm 
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IMU wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
IMU wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
IMU wrote:
Then why has he not compensated for it? Why can't he outscore the other team? Why are the other teams scorers always better?

He has compensated for it.

It is difficult for one player to outscore an entire NBA team.

Other teams scorers aren't always better.

https://www.foxsports.com/nba/chicago-b ... ISC&time=0

If you find Bulls lineups of any 5 guys excluding Lavine, you will find the Bulls are more competitive without him than with him.

No you won't. You're misunderstanding what those numbers are representing. There's a reason that the guys who have started the most games all have the worst +/-.

I knew'd you go that route. So take a look at another bad team: https://www.foxsports.com/nba/orlando-m ... ISC&time=0

Their best player has a better +/- than all of the other players on his team that start alongside him and play the same types of minutes. Out of anyone with a real amount of minutes, he has their best +/- (but admittedly it is still negative because they suck.)

I'm not expecting Lavine to be +300 when the season ends. But he should not be in the Bottom 5 in the league in plus-minus, which he is now.

You have an over-reliance on +/-, and these two examples perfectly illustrate why it's bad to only use that metric when evaluating a player. All of the advanced and traditional numbers suggest he is quite clearly a net positive player.

Now, to be clear, I don't really like Lavine and I'm not sure this hot start is sustainable. I suspect it's not. If he regresses offensively he's no longer going to be a useful player, his defense is just too bad. But as long as he's putting up 28+ a game on north of 50% shooting while being the entire starting lineup's focal point on offense, he's a good, useful player. He's on one of the worst teams in the league, on arguably the worst defensive team of all time, so his +/- is going to be horrendous all year even if he started averaging 40 ppg on 60% shooting.

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PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 11:10 pm 
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looking good!


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PostPosted: Tue Nov 06, 2018 2:02 am 
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Caller Bob wrote:
looking good!


Bum slayer.

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PostPosted: Tue Nov 06, 2018 7:40 am 
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conns7901 wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
looking good!


Bum slayer.


I’ll take 41 on 25 shots any time.


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