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 Post subject: The Million
PostPosted: Thu Aug 10, 2017 8:00 am 
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Great card for AP I'm looking across the pond 8)

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Thu Aug 10, 2017 10:11 am 
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Deauville?

there are some intriguing horses in there. beach patrol has been a goddamn disappointment.

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Thu Aug 10, 2017 1:32 pm 
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Scottish Godolphin/Buick.......a tightener coming in lookout........ the Haskell exacta,the Test, the Whitney I'm on fire
look who is up tomorrow

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Thu Aug 10, 2017 4:19 pm 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Scottish Godolphin/Buick.......a tightener coming in lookout........ the Haskell exacta,the Test, the Whitney I'm on fire
look who is up tomorrow


I like Divisidero, Mehktaal and Ascend.


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Thu Aug 10, 2017 7:52 pm 
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Ryan Moore and William Buick are great in the UK but here? don't know...

i would stay away from mekhtaal.

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Thu Aug 10, 2017 10:36 pm 
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W_Z wrote:
Ryan Moore and William Buick are great in the UK but here? don't know...

i would stay away from mekhtaal.


I liked Mekhtaal before reading this article.

"Mekhtaal is a Group 1 stakes winner and that is the first requirement for being a win contender in a Grade 1 race. He is just a 4-year-old so is still not fully mature, which means he can run even better than he did when winning the Prix d'Ispahan Stakes in France in May, with an Equibase Speed Figure of 119 (foreign race figure from STATS Race Lens). That 119 figure was as good as the 119 figure Deauville earned when beaten just a half-length in the 2016 Million. Facing even tougher one month later in the Price of Wales Stakes, Mekhtaal wasn't disgraced one bit when beaten just three lengths by multiple group and grade 1 stakes winner Highland Reel and earning a 120 figure. Only worse than second one time in six races at this mile and a quarter trip on grass and with champion jockey Frankie Dettori coming across the pond to ride, Mekhtaal also has a perfect 3-for-3 record on firm turf and could be the one to beat in this year's Arlington Million."

https://www.americasbestracing.net/gamb ... on-million

The most speed in the race is Beach Patrol, Pizza Man and Oscar Nominated, in that order. Then comes Ghost Hunter. That doesn't include the Euro-invaders.

On an expected weighted winning percentage basis (graded stakes races only), it goes:

Ascend - 13.4%
Ghost Hunter - 11.4%
Enterprising - 10.4%
Oakbrook/Mekhtaal - 10% and 8.6%

This is a tough race to handicap. No real standout in the field, but a few G1 winners.


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Fri Aug 11, 2017 7:02 am 
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he's drawn in a horrible post.

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Fri Aug 11, 2017 8:46 am 
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W_Z wrote:
he's drawn in a horrible post.


Yup. That's why I'm conflicted. All the horses I like are on the outside, and I don't want to make the same mistake as I did with Arklow.

So maybe this race is setup for the speed horses on the inside like Pizza Man, Oscar Nominated and Ghost Hunter? And you have Deauville, too, at the 5 post.

Beach Patrol has the same problem, too far outside.


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Fri Aug 11, 2017 9:03 am 
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But I still think Divisidero is the best horse in the race.


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Fri Aug 11, 2017 1:49 pm 
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Gonna go with a friend I think. Should be fun.


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Fri Aug 11, 2017 3:04 pm 
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Dignified Rube wrote:
But I still think Divisidero is the best horse in the race.


he beat beach patrol at churchill on derby day. but i don't think that's a rivalry this time around.

those euro horses are definitely going to be a tough call.

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Fri Aug 11, 2017 3:56 pm 
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I picked up some money from my stepdad to make a bet on Mekhtaal for him.

I have no idea what I'm gonna do yet. I haven't taken any time to study the horses yet.


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 11:46 am 
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1st 4-8 exacta box...love Rube hating Geroux makes me like him more :)
2nd 5 Ramsey's at 9/2 a free lunch

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Last edited by Walt Williams Neck on Sat Aug 12, 2017 12:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 12:31 pm 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
1st 4-8 exacta box...love Rube hating Geroux makes me like him more :)


Sorry, man, I misread your post. Thought you were talking about the Million.

But if you do take Geroux, he will surrender position, like the French did with the Maginot Line.

"J'abandonne!"


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 2:32 pm 
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I'm going out on a limb for the Million.

1. Beach Patrol
2. Ascend
3. Pizza Man/Oscar Nominated

Did JORR surrender, too?


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 3:44 pm 
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Secretariat tri box 1-3-6

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 3:53 pm 
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Dignified Rube wrote:
I'm going out on a limb for the Million.

1. Beach Patrol
2. Ascend
3. Pizza Man/Oscar Nominated running in the Secretariat


Did JORR surrender, too?

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 4:01 pm 
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This 8th race at Saratoga looks interesting.

#8 Off Limits the favorite at 1-1, but I'll take

6/5,8/5,8/1

Go Promotional! Nice looking horse.

Big down-pour at Toga.


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 4:09 pm 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Dignified Rube wrote:
I'm going out on a limb for the Million.

1. Beach Patrol
2. Ascend
3. Pizza Man/Oscar Nominated running in the Secretariat


Did JORR surrender, too?


That's Oscar Performance, Big Chief.

Oscar Nominated is in the Million.


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 4:36 pm 
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got to right the ship :drunken:

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 5:32 pm 
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What the fuck is this Nascar shit on my tv? Fucking hillbillies.


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 6:26 pm 
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my horse had been scratched 10 and 10 Ghost Hunter

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 6:42 pm 
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B.P.!! Whew!!!


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 6:45 pm 
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Woooo I won!


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 7:05 pm 
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See how Rosario fought hard for position in that opening quarter? That was the race right there. Masterful job.

You better have been taking notes, Geroux.

Like I said a while ago, Chad Brown in money.


Last edited by Dignified Rube on Sat Aug 12, 2017 7:13 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 7:05 pm 
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Dignified Rube wrote:
I'm going out on a limb for the Million.

1. Beach Patrol
2. Ascend
3. Pizza Man/Oscar Nominated

Did JORR surrender, too?

well.......I lost my ass plus I had to listen to Cornhole sing My Kind of Town

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 7:23 pm 
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Illinois racing can't be dead.

The Illinois-bred horses performed well today in the Million. Oakbrook, Ghost Hunter and Pizza Man were all in it, fighting tooth and nail.

When I saw Ghost Hunter make his move on the back, I thought Walt was in for a big pay-day.

And over $2 million was wagered on the race.

Great one, very exciting! One day it will be called the Trubisky Million!


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 8:06 pm 
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I talked Brad H. Cox into getting Joel Rosario next for Arklow.

Fearless jockey. I love the guy.


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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Sat Aug 12, 2017 10:08 pm 
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WE ARE THE BEACH PATROL!

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 Post subject: Re: The Million
PostPosted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 5:28 pm 
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great job by those who had the winner board cred is rising

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