Frelund had a good gambling/analytics podcast with the San Diego Chargers play-by-play guy Matt "Money" Something for two or three seasons. After she got more of on-air role at NFL Network etc she stopped doing the pod. When she was doing it she'd run her model on presumably NFL front offices or NFL Networks hardware 1000's of times each week and share the results. Her spread picks weren't very good; usually she'd be within 1 to 3 points of the final total for the game and get the side right most every game. If she didn't she get confused and upset at her model.


She did Northwestern's graduate finance/analytics program. iirc, her dad's like a rocket scientist from Michigan named "MacGyver"; which if you're a scientist named MacGyver, you gotta bring it every day.

Bears with fourth-year Fields under center in 2024 vs Bears with a true rookie QB under center in 2024....the former likely wins more games than the latter

Not so much to do with Fields and more to do with the history of true rookie QB's in the NFL...they lose--a lot, especially in the playoffs.

anyone thinks a team is getting a CJ Stroud in this draft? Had that chance and passed on it. Unicorn seasons are unicorn seasons for a reason, they super-rarely to almost never happen.

speaking of losing a lot, C-Will lost more games his last month of college ball than Stroud lost his entire college career:




chances a guy who went 5-4 in the Pac 12 in 2023 is going to CJ Stroud it in the NFL in 2024?

C-Will even lost to Utah at home, fucking Utah?!?

that's concerning.

Stroud lost to an insanely motivated by an insane coach Michigan 2x, a Georgia team that belonged in the AFC south 1x and lost to Oregon in Stroud's 1st or 2nd college start.

Stroud never lost to a mediocre Utah team at home in college.

Fucking Utes, mang, no one can handle the Runnin' Utes. (except the 5 other teams who beat Utah that season, including Northwestern)

there's a saying that Generals always re-fight the last war ( and initially mess up the current war as a result ). GM's drafting the current draft based on the results of the last draft similarly misguided.

Everyone downgraded CJ Stroud cuz the last tOSU QB (well, last 2 dozen tOSU QBs to get drafted) stunk it up in the NFL. That's somewhat defensible. even tho clearly wrong in retrospect.


Drafting C-Will and expecting him to be as successful as Stroud his rookie NFL season is even more misguided than the Ohio-State QB's overrated line of thinking.


Look at the player(s) before you and their body of work. Draft history plays into it but it shouldn't over-shadow losing to Utah at home.

Hate to tell ya this "Amigo", but that is sort of the essence of how life works.

The crisis consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new cannot be born; in this interregnum a great variety of morbid symptoms appear.

Has Caleb Williams ever thrown an inside slant?

Yes. One of the things that concerned me early on, and made me favor Maye, was my belief that most of his passes were thrown to the outside. Working in the middle of the field is important in the NFL. We've seen Fields struggle with that. After viewing more film, I noticed he didn't have an issue reading or seeing the field, and those routes were rarely open or rarely in the design of a play.

The crisis consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new cannot be born; in this interregnum a great variety of morbid symptoms appear.

Mahomes got blown out in college a few times too and lost to mediocre opponents.. finished with a below .500 record for his career in college.


None of that means much. At least not as much as some here want to believe.

there's a saying that Generals always re-fight the last war ( and initially mess up the current war as a result ). GM's drafting the current draft based on the results of the last draft similarly misguided.

Everyone downgraded CJ Stroud cuz the last tOSU QB (well, last 2 dozen tOSU QBs to get drafted) stunk it up in the NFL. That's somewhat defensible. even tho clearly wrong in retrospect.


Drafting C-Will and expecting him to be as successful as Stroud his rookie NFL season is even more misguided than the Ohio-State QB's overrated line of thinking.


Look at the player(s) before you and their body of work. Draft history plays into it but it shouldn't over-shadow losing to Utah at home.

I've seen hundreds of dicks in my life.

You get moist for Caleb when you watch college football

That's what I'm getting at. Almost every passing play in the USC offense seems designed to go to the outside. The North Carolina offense attacked the middle of the field much more frequently--or at least that's my impression.

If you watch his highlights that’s mostly what you’ll see -but if you watched games he attacks all over the field. I’ve watched about 6 of his games, he can throw slants all day and threw more than a few in the games I saw.


His biggest issue is spending a lot of time out of the Shotgun vs under center.. but that’s a criticism most college guys face.


Bottom line is Caleb can make any throw you can think of, and even plenty you can’t think of.

I honestly don't remember seeing him under center.

Hate to tell ya this "Amigo", but that is sort of the essence of how life works.